Death of El Niño?

Mike P · Post by **Mike P** » Sun Jun 29, 2014 11:58 am

This doesn't look good for a wet El Niño year. An article from today's San Gabriel Valley Tribune: A Disappearing El Niño?

cougarmagic · Post by **cougarmagic** » Mon Jun 30, 2014 1:07 pm

This is me, booing you off the stage.

VermillionPearlGirl · Post by **VermillionPearlGirl** » Mon Jun 30, 2014 2:16 pm

Yeah. Serious bummer.

Post by **HikeUp** » Mon Jun 30, 2014 3:58 pm

Junk science.

Terry Morse · Post by **Terry Morse** » Mon Jun 30, 2014 7:00 pm

Bill Patzert is the "Debbie Downer" of the meteorological crowd.

Teejate · Post by **Teejate** » Wed Jul 02, 2014 4:48 pm

The NWS is still sitting at a probability of 70%.

I'm going to go with that as opposed to someone saying "The great wet hope IS going to be the great wet disappointment.” The source, Bill Patzert, is an oceanographer but is also considered an expert in climatology. That said, he's also a frequent media source which is something I know a little bit about.

Climatologists don't say something WILL happen. They speak in terms of probabilities. Those looking to be quoted and grab that TV time (which relates directly to speaking fees) tend to be a little more cavalier. Absolutes sell.

Some parts of the world are downgrading a bit while others are still at the higher probabilities. Guess we'll have to wait and see.

VermillionPearlGirl · Post by **VermillionPearlGirl** » Wed Jul 02, 2014 6:26 pm

I got drizzled on yesterday, so I'm keeping my fingers crossed