RH wrote: Tue Oct 21, 2025 1:11 pm
So more than likely they were at least 50-100 feet apart when he yelled back.
Maybe you didn't read my previous post, but I wrote that this past weekend I spoke with Monica's male hiking partner, Subject "A", in person, and he stated they were 30 feet, NOT 30 yards, apart when he turned back and told Monica to make a right turn, a command she acknowledged with a wave to him. He then continued making that right turn. That's the last he saw of her. I too am very perplexed how she missed that turn, which she should have reached in less than 10 seconds after he went down it.
RH wrote: Tue Oct 21, 2025 1:11 pm
I've heard SARs found the beanie and the dog came later but I've also heard the dog tracked from her last known location on the ridge down to the spot where they found beanie.
According to what Subject A told me in person, he stated the beanie was discovered by a SAR member on the morning of 6/23, and the dog was then brought down to that location in the ravine to try to lock onto her scent. Unfortunately, the dog was unsuccessful at locking onto her scent trail. This means either Monica did not bring the beanie down there, or the terrain was not ideal for a scent dog tracking operation.
RH wrote: Tue Oct 21, 2025 1:11 pm
Also, she might have been calling out but they couldn't hear her and she wouldn't have heard the shouts from people above searching. Some of the searchers did sound experiments up there and discovered how little sound carries around all the boulders and ravines. The hikers testing it couldn't hear each other yelling even on the ridge once they got 300 or so feet away from each other with a boulder in the way. Emergency whistles were also tested and found to not be much more useful than shouting.
Subject A mentioned to me those voice and sound tests that were performed up there, and I have trouble believing that the calls for Monica did not carry far because:
a) The 3rd hiker, Subject "C", who stayed behind at the bottom of the steep portion of the trail heard the searching hikers and Subject A yelling for Monica, and the 3rd hiker was over 1,600' away as the crow flies, over 500' below the ridge, and on the noisier side of the ridge with Angeles Crest Highway. How far could Monica have travelled down that steep ravine before Subject A started yelling for her from the ridge? I assume he started yelling for Monica from the ridge about 10 minutes after they split. (He came down 150' on the trail after making that right turn and waited 5 minutes before he made his way back up to the ridge and started searching and yelling for her.) The linked timeline posted on here notes this length of time between their split and Subject A making it back up to the ridge as only being 8 minutes long.
b) When I descended down that ravine where the beanie was found, my buddy and his dog stayed at the top of the ravine. In 4 minutes I made it down just over halfway to where the beanie was found, or about 130 vertical feet down from the top (the beanie was found about 250' below the top of the ravine), and I could see and hear him TALKING to his dog, not yelling. His statements were clear, and I saw him at the top from my spot below. When I was down there I even heard, but barely, a hiking group coming down the Upper West Ridge trail in the distance on the ridge as they TALKED amongst each other, but I could not understand the conversations. It took me about 4 minutes to descend the 130', so how far down did Monica get in the brief 8-10 minute time window from when she last saw Subject A? She had to walk 400 feet off trail from her LKP to the top of the ravine in maybe 2 minutes, stop and contemplate where her partner went and possibly yell for him, analyze her surroundings at the top of the ravine, and then descend down the ravine. I doubt she made it past my position in that steep and loose ravine by the time her partner started yelling for her from the ridge.
RH wrote: Tue Oct 21, 2025 1:11 pm
SARs was searching the north slopes mostly the first couple days and that seemed to anger "Subject A" as he kept insisting she went south. Why would he think she went south? When you come down that ridge if you missed the turn, your natural inclination with the landscape guiding you is to continue along the ridge west and/or veer northbound. Going south especially down that ravine is very illogical (sus) as is going south anywhere further down the west ridge.
This is the first time I've heard/read about Subject A being irritated about SAR searching the north slope in lieu of the south slope. Where did this info come from? I hope this is not some rumor.
But if it is true, that is surprising because he told Monica to turn north. Why would he expect Monica to be on the south side of the ridge? He even initially searched for her right after she vanished in the westerly and southerly direction from the LKP. So, why was he so certain she went south, a position he held even before Monica's beanie was discovered on the south slope?
When I stood at the northerly bend in the trail and looked due west, the terrain was descending into a northwesterly-facing ravine. One would have to follow a 30-40 degree left-sweeping turn to the southwest from the northerly bend spot to stay on the ridge. So, if Monica missed the northerly right turn and instead was making a sweeping left turn along the ridge just seconds after receiving directions from Subject A and after watching him make that right turn himself, her making a left turn should have been a red flag to her and should have stopped. That is very strange, especially since she continued for about 2 minutes and 400 feet along the ridge to get to the top of the ravine, while she did not see Subject A since he turned. So strange!
RH wrote: Tue Oct 21, 2025 1:11 pm
She was a fast hiker and they were running down the ridge trail so if she did go south and he went north, they could have gotten far apart quickly. I went from her last known location down that south ravine all the way to the trail below it in 23 minutes without running. So if they were 0.1 mile (500 feet) away from each other, no chance of hearing each other. And if she reached that lower trail and went towards Twin Peaks, she could cover a lot of distance running before SARs started searching a few hours later. Everything about her heading south seems counterintuitive and 100s of people have searched south for months without any clues.
What proof is there they were running down from Mt. Waterman? The timeline does not prove that, since they covered the 1 mile from the peak to the last photo spot in 17 minutes, which would make their speed about 3.5mph, a brisk hiking pace. They then continued 0.3 miles from the last photo spot to the LKP in 5 minutes, at about the same speed of 3.6mph. The last photo of Monica shows her quite well put together and not sweating after a mile run with a backpack that still had 3 liters of water in it, as estimated by Subject A. I don't have a clear version of the second-to-last photo of Monica as she was approaching the last photo spot. Was she running in that photo? Is there any concrete proof they were running back?
And regarding the reported coordinates for the LKP, they place that spot about 100' south of the trail. Is this really where Subject A last saw Monica, meaning they were already off trail by then? Or is this an error due to an assumption?
Finally, Subject A stated they were planning on taking a shortcut off-trail on their way back after making that northerly right turn. Do we know a bit more details about this shortcut discussion between him and Monica? Did he show her the intended shortcut on the map/phone, which would require a left off-trail turn?
I ask, because if she saw the map and roughly remembered what the trail and shortcut looked like, the only way I see Monica making that left turn down the southerly ravine is because she incorrectly believed she was making the left, shortcut turn down the northerly slope, hoping to reconnect with the Upper West Trail below. There, at the anticipated trail reconnect, she would make a left westerly turn to get to the trailhead below. But instead she accidentally went down on the south side of the ridge into Devil's Canyon, hit the Three Points to Twin Peaks Trail, made the planned left turn, but now she was heading east while believing she was heading west. After following the trail for a bit she realized this trail was constantly going uphill. She may have thought she hit a different trail, although believing she was still on the north side of the ridge, and decided to go off trail again, downhill into the canyon hoping to hit the Angeles Crest Highway. When off trail again, she lost her lip balm, and eventually yelled out in frustration when there was no highway at the bottom of Devil's Canyon.
But who knows. That's just my theory trying to connect all these dots we have, if I was asked to explain to someone how she could have made it down that southerly ravine. That theory still doesn't explain several big questions like why she didn't make that right turn behind Subject A, why she didn't stop and wonder where Subject A went, and how she never heard anyone's calls and no one heard hers, assuming she would be calling out once she lost Subject A. Do we know whether she had a hearing issue?